Market Research and Feasibility Study for LNG Terminals and Gas Infrastructure in Africa

Assess LNG terminal and gas infrastructure opportunities in Africa through market research, feasibility analysis, financial modelling, and investment planning.
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Market Research and Feasibility Study for LNG Terminals and Gas Infrastructure in Africa

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Introduction

A Feasibility Study for LNG Terminals and Gas Infrastructure helps investors evaluate gas demand, terminal capacity, pipeline requirements, storage, capital costs, operating expenses, and project returns. Africa has major opportunities across LNG export, import terminals, regasification, gas processing, pipelines, storage, and industrial gas supply. However, each project depends on resource availability, infrastructure, contracts, regulation, security, and financing.

Therefore, investors need country-specific analysis before committing capital. This is especially important across South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, Egypt, Morocco, Ghana, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Côte d’Ivoire, and Botswana. Aviaan combines market research, feasibility analysis, financial modelling, investment assessment, and commercial strategy to help investors evaluate gas infrastructure opportunities.

Market Research and Feasibility Study for LNG Terminals and Gas Infrastructure in Africa

Market Overview & Industry Insights

Africa's gas infrastructure landscape is changing rapidly. New LNG capacity is entering the market, while several countries are developing import infrastructure and domestic gas networks. At the same time, project economics remain sensitive to LNG prices, long-term contracts, construction costs, financing, and geopolitical risk.

  • Global LNG capacity: Around 300 billion cubic metres per year of new LNG export capacity is expected globally by 2030. Therefore, African projects will enter a market with significantly more supply.
  • LNG investment cycle: More than 450 bcm/year of LNG export capacity reached final investment decision between 2019 and June 2026. Moreover, 2025 recorded more than 100 bcm/year of new FIDs.
  • Nigeria: Nigeria LNG Train 7 is under construction and is listed by the IEA at approximately 10.9 bcm/year, or 8.0 million tonnes per year, of nameplate capacity. First LNG is scheduled for 2027.
  • Mozambique: Mozambique LNG is listed with planned capacity of approximately 17.5 bcm/year, equivalent to about 12.9 million tonnes per year. First LNG is currently scheduled for 2029 in the IEA tracker.
  • Mozambique investment: ExxonMobil announced approximately US$1.1 billion in pre-investment contracts for the Rovuma LNG Phase 1 project in August 2026. The wider project has been estimated at around US$30 billion.
  • Rovuma LNG: The project is expected to produce roughly 18 million tonnes of LNG per year once developed. However, security conditions in Cabo Delgado remain a major project consideration.
  • Mozambique Coral North: The IEA tracker lists Coral North FLNG at approximately 4.9 bcm/year, or 3.6 million tonnes per year, with first LNG scheduled for 2028.
  • West Africa: Senegal's Greater Tortue Ahmeyim project delivered its first LNG cargo in April 2025. Consequently, Senegal and Mauritania have entered the global LNG export market.
  • Congo: Congo LNG Phase 2 started production in December 2025, increasing the country's total liquefaction capacity to approximately 4 bcm/year.
  • Global market risk: The IEA expects a major LNG supply wave through 2030. Therefore, new projects must carefully assess long-term offtake, pricing, competition, and utilisation before reaching FID.

These developments show why a Feasibility Study Africa approach should consider both upstream gas availability and downstream commercial demand. In addition, investors should assess whether the project should target exports, domestic power generation, industrial users, or a combination of markets.

Go-To-Market Strategy

Aviaan develops market-entry strategies around gas availability, customer demand, infrastructure requirements, and commercial contracts. First, the team identifies the strongest market segment. Next, it evaluates customers, competitors, pricing, infrastructure, and offtake options.

  • Market Entry Assessment – Identify attractive LNG import, export, regasification, pipeline, storage, and gas-processing opportunities.
  • Customer Segmentation – Assess utilities, power producers, industrial users, mining companies, manufacturers, commercial buyers, and transport operators.
  • Pricing Strategy – Benchmark LNG prices, regasification charges, pipeline tariffs, storage fees, and delivered gas costs.
  • Offtake Strategy – Evaluate long-term contracts with utilities, industrial customers, power plants, traders, and large energy users.
  • Commercialization Roadmap – Build a phased plan covering project development, contracting, construction, commissioning, and capacity expansion.

As a result, investors can align infrastructure capacity with realistic customer commitments.

Feasibility Study for LNG Terminals and Gas Infrastructure

Aviaan evaluates technical, commercial, operational, and financial viability together. This approach helps investors understand whether the proposed infrastructure can operate reliably and generate acceptable returns.

  • Demand Assessment – Forecast LNG and natural-gas demand by customer, geography, industry, power generation, and consumption pattern.
  • Terminal Assessment – Evaluate FSRU, FSU, onshore regasification, LNG storage, loading facilities, jetties, and supporting infrastructure.
  • Pipeline Feasibility – Assess route options, capacity, compressor requirements, land access, construction costs, and connection points.
  • Supply Assessment – Review upstream gas availability, LNG suppliers, import routes, shipping requirements, and contract structures.
  • Financial Analysis – Model CAPEX, OPEX, LNG prices, gas tariffs, throughput, working capital, debt, equity, cash flow, IRR, NPV, ROI, and payback.
  • Risk Assessment – Stress-test construction delays, gas prices, currency movements, security issues, demand shortfalls, regulatory changes, and financing costs.

Moreover, Aviaan can compare different infrastructure models. For example, an FSRU may offer a faster entry route, while an onshore terminal may provide greater long-term storage and expansion potential.

Market Research for LNG Terminals and Gas Infrastructure

Aviaan's market research focuses on actual gas buyers, supply sources, competing infrastructure, tariffs, and future demand. Therefore, the research supports both investment decisions and project design.

  • Customer Research – Study utilities, power producers, industrial companies, mining operations, manufacturers, and commercial gas users.
  • Competitor Intelligence – Map LNG terminals, pipelines, storage facilities, gas-processing plants, importers, exporters, and major gas suppliers.
  • Market Sizing – Estimate addressable gas demand by geography, industry, customer segment, and infrastructure capacity.
  • Demand Forecasting – Develop base, high-growth, and downside scenarios for LNG imports, domestic gas use, and industrial consumption.
  • Pricing Analysis – Compare LNG procurement costs, regasification charges, pipeline tariffs, storage costs, and delivered gas prices.
  • Supply-Chain Research – Assess ports, shipping routes, pipelines, storage, EPC suppliers, equipment vendors, and maintenance providers.
  • Opportunity Mapping – Identify underserved industrial clusters, power markets, gas corridors, import requirements, and export opportunities.

Furthermore, this analysis can determine whether a project should focus on a single anchor customer or develop a diversified customer base.

Business Plan for LNG Terminals and Gas Infrastructure

Aviaan develops the business plan around the project's commercial structure, infrastructure requirements, and financing needs. In addition, the plan can support lender, investor, government, and strategic-partner discussions.

  • Financial Modelling – Build projections for CAPEX, OPEX, gas procurement, tariffs, revenue, debt, equity, working capital, cash flow, IRR, NPV, and ROI.
  • Capacity Planning – Model different throughput levels, utilisation rates, storage capacities, and expansion scenarios.
  • Revenue Planning – Forecast income from gas sales, regasification, storage, transportation, terminal services, or capacity reservations.
  • Funding Strategy – Evaluate project finance, strategic investors, infrastructure funds, development finance, debt, equity, and government support.
  • Implementation Roadmap – Define milestones for site selection, permits, engineering, contracting, financing, construction, commissioning, and operations.

In addition, Aviaan can model downside scenarios. This is important because LNG infrastructure often involves high fixed costs and long investment periods.

How Aviaan Uses Primary Research

Gas infrastructure projects depend on local market conditions. Therefore, published reports alone may not provide enough evidence for an investment decision.

Aviaan can conduct interviews with utilities, power producers, LNG suppliers, industrial users, shipping companies, EPC contractors, pipeline operators, regulators, technology providers, and investors.

For example, discussions with industrial customers can reveal expected gas consumption and acceptable delivered prices. Similarly, utility interviews can clarify procurement structures, contract periods, and future power-sector requirements.

Site-level research can also assess port access, pipeline connections, land availability, security, road infrastructure, power supply, and expansion potential. In addition, supplier discussions can validate equipment costs, lead times, maintenance requirements, and local sourcing options.

As a result, primary research improves the assumptions used in the business feasibility report and financial model.

Our Experience & Credentials

Aviaan applies market research, feasibility studies, financial modelling, business planning, commercial due diligence, and investment analysis to energy and infrastructure opportunities. Its consulting approach connects market evidence with operational requirements and financial decision-making.

  • LNG Infrastructure Feasibility – Nigeria – Assessed gas demand, terminal requirements, customer segments, infrastructure needs, investment costs, and financial viability.
  • Gas Infrastructure Market Research – Ghana – Evaluated industrial gas demand, supply options, pipeline requirements, competitors, pricing, and market-entry opportunities.
  • LNG Terminal Business Plan – Egypt – Developed demand forecasts, infrastructure assumptions, revenue scenarios, operating costs, financing requirements, and implementation planning.
  • Gas Pipeline Investment Analysis – South Africa – Assessed customer demand, route economics, capacity requirements, capital expenditure, operating costs, and investment returns.
  • Gas Infrastructure Commercial Due Diligence – Morocco – Evaluated market attractiveness, supply options, customer demand, regulatory considerations, competitive infrastructure, and expansion opportunities.

Conclusion

A Feasibility Study for LNG Terminals and Gas Infrastructure should establish whether the proposed project can deliver reliable gas at a commercially sustainable cost. However, gas availability alone does not guarantee project success.

Investors must also assess LNG procurement, terminal technology, pipeline capacity, storage, customer contracts, tariffs, financing, regulation, security, and construction risk. Therefore, a detailed investment feasibility assessment is essential before committing major capital.

Across South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, Egypt, Morocco, Ghana, Ethiopia, Tanzania, Uganda, Zambia, Côte d’Ivoire, and Botswana, the opportunity differs significantly. For example, Nigeria has established LNG export infrastructure, while Egypt has strategic LNG infrastructure and regional trading potential. Meanwhile, other markets may offer opportunities in LNG import terminals, gas distribution, industrial supply, or power-sector infrastructure.

Furthermore, the global LNG market is entering a major supply expansion cycle. The IEA expects around 300 bcm/year of new LNG export capacity by 2030. Consequently, new African projects need strong commercial positioning and credible offtake strategies.

If you are evaluating an LNG terminal, FSRU, gas pipeline, storage facility, regasification project, gas-processing plant, or industrial gas network, contact Aviaan. A structured feasibility study can help you validate demand, compare project models, assess risks, build financial projections, and prepare an investment-ready business plan.

FAQs

1. Why is a feasibility study important for an LNG terminal?

An LNG terminal requires substantial capital and long-term contracts. Therefore, investors should validate demand, supply, terminal capacity, shipping, tariffs, financing, operating costs, and expected returns before development.

2. Which African countries offer opportunities for LNG and gas infrastructure?

Nigeria, Egypt, Mozambique, Ghana, South Africa, Tanzania, Senegal, Mauritania, Morocco, and other African markets have different gas-related opportunities. However, the most suitable market depends on supply availability, demand, infrastructure, regulation, and investment economics.

3. What does an LNG terminal feasibility study include?

It can include market research, LNG supply analysis, demand forecasting, terminal technology assessment, site analysis, pipeline planning, CAPEX and OPEX modelling, financial projections, regulatory review, and risk assessment.

4. What is the difference between an FSRU and an onshore LNG terminal?

An FSRU is a floating storage and regasification unit. It can provide a faster and potentially more flexible import solution. In contrast, an onshore terminal generally offers greater permanent infrastructure and expansion potential.

5. How can Aviaan support a gas infrastructure investment?

Aviaan can support market research, feasibility studies, business plans, financial modelling, commercial due diligence, investment analysis, market-entry strategy, and implementation planning.

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A comprehensive analysis to evaluate the commercial, technical, and financial viability of a proposed business or project before investment.

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